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Assessing 2020 NHL Draft Prospect Probabilities of Success
AFP Analytics is proud to release its first-ever NHL draft prospect rankings. The rankings are based on the development of a logistic regression model that assigns a probability of NHL success (playing a minimum number of games) to each prospect based on their performance in years leading up to their draft eligibility. This is an alpha edition of the model and only covers skaters. There is still work to be done but enough progress has also been made to throw our hat in the ri

Kyle Stich
Oct 1, 20205 min read
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Sam Reinhart Bridge Contract Analysis
If you have followed along with our work this summer, you will know I think teams are making poor financial decisions when they sign their restricted free agents (RFAs) to bridge contracts. We gave a presentation on this concept at the 4 th RIT Sports Analytics Conference. You can view our talks and slides here We also have a write up on this concept here . One of the examples we discussed was the Buffalo Sabres’ Sam Reinhart. We argued that financially the Sabres should o

Kyle Stich
Sep 18, 20193 min read
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Dear NHL Teams: Burn The Bridge Contract (An AFP Classic)
The National Hockey League (NHL) is changing with a greater emphasis on speed and skill and that is being provided by younger players. Teams are building younger rosters than ever before and looking for significant contributions from their young players early on. With this trend, it is more critical than ever for teams to properly manage their young players from a contract perspective.

Kyle Stich
Aug 10, 201816 min read
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