This is our mock version for the first round of the 2022 NHL Draft, which will be held in Montreal on July 7th. The first 20 picks will be split into multiple parts. The first part being which players our model would prefer to select at each pick. The explanation of our model can be found  here . The next part will be our draft analyst Matt Higgs' analysis on what he believes will happen at each selection. The final part will be the summary of the prediction, and it will incl

There has been plenty of talk around the 2021 NHL draft. There is a narrative that it is a “weaker” draft. I’m not sure I 100% buy that. There certainly is not a guaranteed star player that will go first overall. It appears people have become accustomed to that being the case with the likes of Connor McDavid (2015), Auston Matthews (2016), Rasmus Dahlin (2018), Jack Hughes (2019), and Alexis Lafreniere (2020) being recent first overall picks. The only year missing from the pa

AFP Analytics is proud to release its first-ever NHL draft prospect rankings. The rankings are based on the development of a logistic regression model that assigns a probability of NHL success (playing a minimum number of games) to each prospect based on their performance in years leading up to their draft eligibility. This is an alpha edition of the model and only covers skaters. There is still work to be done but enough progress has also been made to throw our hat in the ri